Analyst Note| William Kerwin |
Narrow-moat Motorola Solutions exceeded its top- and bottom-line guidance in the second quarter, and modestly raised its full year outlook to reflect increased confidence in second-half demand. Our $175 fair value estimate for Motorola is unchanged, as the new outlook aligns with our previous above-guidance expectations for fiscal 2022. We’re also pleased to see continued growth for the firm’s software and services segment, and continue to believe a heavier software mix will drive margin expansion for Motorola through 2025. We think Motorola is benefiting from looser security budgets as the U.S. economy rebounds from 2020, and think it will see multi-year demand as state and local governments digest funds from U.S. government stimulus during the pandemic. Still, we think of Motorola as a steady grower, and think the market is painting a more rapid sales growth and margin expansion picture than is reasonable. We currently view shares as overvalued, and would recommend waiting for a pullback to invest.