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McDonald's Corp MCD

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Morningstar’s Analysis

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1-Star Price

PREMIUM

5-Star Price

PREMIUM

Economic Moat

PREMIUM

Capital Allocation

PREMIUM

Corporate Tax Hikes Are Very Likely to Come for U.S. Equities

Preston Caldwell Equity Analyst

Analyst Note

| Preston Caldwell |

We expect a U.S. corporate tax hike to be passed this year. Our probability-weighted forecast is an increase in the statutory tax rate to 26% from 21% currently. Our equity analysts will be incorporating the new tax rate into their valuation models over the coming weeks, but our preliminary analysis suggests a mid-single-digit impact to the average U.S. equity valuation.

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Company Profile

Business Description

McDonald’s Corporation is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2020 systemwide sales of $93 billion across 39,000 stores and 119 countries. McDonald’s revolutionized the restaurant industry with a cheap and fast core menu, building its impressive footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees. The firm earns 57% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed. McDonald’s owns 55% of the real estate and 80% of the buildings in its franchise system, offering it substantial leverage in maintaining quality standards and consistency across markets.

Contact
110 North Carpenter Street
Chicago, IL, 60607
T +1 630 623-3000
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Most Recent Earnings Mar 31, 2021
Fiscal Year End Dec 31, 2021
Stock Type Cyclical
Employees 200,000

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