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Devon Energy Corp DVN

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Morningstar’s Analysis

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1-Star Price

PREMIUM

5-Star Price

PREMIUM

Economic Moat

PREMIUM

Capital Allocation

PREMIUM

Devon Exceeds Second-Quarter Expectations and Accelerates Variable Dividends

Analyst Note

| Dave Meats, CFA |

After incorporating Devon’s second-quarter results, we’ve increased our fair value estimate to $33 from $29. The increase was partly driven by a more positive outlook for near-term oil and gas prices since our last update, coupled with a reduction in our cost of capital assumption to 9.5% (reflecting the firm’s further improved balance sheet). The change also gives credit for further efficiency gains and thus lower production costs, particularly in the Delaware Basin.
The firm performed well in the second quarter, with total production of 566.8 mboe/d (3% higher than the midpoint, and above the top end, of the guidance range). And the firm’s financial results were similarly strong, with adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS coming in at $1.198 billion and $0.60 respectively (FactSet consensus estimates were $1.107 billion and $0.52). This was achieved despite lower-than-expected capital spending, with unit operating expenses declining at the same time. Management attributed the outperformance to efficiency gains, improved well performance, and merger-related synergies. Nevertheless, the 2021 plan was largely intact, with an unchanged budget and a modest hike to natural gas liquids volume guidance only. We think that leaves room for further outperformance in the back half of the year.

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Company Profile

Business Description

Devon Energy, based in Oklahoma City, is one of the largest independent exploration and production companies in North America. The firm's asset base is spread throughout onshore North America and includes exposure to the Delaware, STACK, Eagle Ford, Powder River Basin, and Bakken plays. At year-end 2020, Devon's proved reserves totaled 757 million barrels of oil equivalent, and net production that year was 333 mboe/d (of which, oil and natural gas liquids made up 70% of production, with natural gas accounting for the remainder).

Contact
333 West Sheridan Avenue
Oklahoma, OK, 73102-5015
T +1 405 235-3611
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Most Recent Earnings Jun 30, 2021
Fiscal Year End Dec 31, 2021
Stock Type Hard Assets
Employees 1,400

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