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Compass Group PLC CPG

Rating as of

Morningstar’s Analysis

Valuation
Currency in GBX
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1-Star Price

PREMIUM

5-Star Price

PREMIUM

Economic Moat

PREMIUM

Capital Allocation

PREMIUM

Narrow-Moat Compass Group Warming Up in Fourth Quarter

Michael Field, CFA Senior Equity Analyst

Analyst Note

| Michael Field, CFA |

Having issued a preclose update less than a couple of months ago, narrow-moat Compass Group’s full release contained little in the way of surprises. Revenue for the full year came in at close to GBP 18 billion, representing 77% of precoronavirus levels. It is the direction of travel however, that should please investors, with this figure accelerating to 86% in the fourth quarter. Similarly, operating margins closed out the year at 5.8%, materially below the 7.5% historical peak, but a marked improvement from the 2.9% level delivered for full-year 2020. Management have guided to operating margins north of 6% for 2022, and an exit rate of closer to 7%. This, combined with organic revenue growth guidance of 20%-25% for the year, should bring us to within touching distance of prepandemic performance by the end of next year. We reiterate our GBX 1,560 fair value estimate and see just modest upside from the prevailing share price.

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Company Profile

Business Description

Compass Group is the largest food-service company globally, operating in more than 50 countries with annual sales of almost GBP 25 billion. Compass Group’s model stems from operating on-premises catering facilities, rather than centralised industrial kitchens. Food services is Compass' core focus and contributes close to 85% of revenue. In addition, the company provides support services to clients through activities including cleaning services, office services (for example, concierge services), grounds maintenance, and so on.

Contact
Guildford Street, Compass House
Chertsey, Surrey, KT16 9BQ, United Kingdom
T +44 1932573000
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Most Recent Earnings
Fiscal Year End Sep 30, 2021
Stock Type
Employees 548,132