Can a Taxable Account Beat a 401(k)?
Investment quality and expenses, as well as tax costs, are big swing factors.
"Max out your 401(k)."
That advice is Personal Finance 101, right up there with "Get a budget" and "Have an emergency fund."
But is that universally solid guidance?
Yes, tax-sheltered retirement plans offer the convenience of automatic investments and tax breaks—pretax contributions and tax-deferred compounding for traditional 401(k)s and tax-free compounding and withdrawals for Roth contributions.
But the availability and quality of the 401(k) are also important considerations. Some workers don't have access to an employer-provided retirement plan, and 401(k) quality can be uneven. While some 401(k) plans, particularly those of large employers, are gold-plated, others have high administrative costs, meager employer matching contributions, and subpar, costly investment lineups. Those negatives can detract from 401(k)s' tax-saving features.
Meanwhile, the tax efficiency for investors' nonretirement accounts has improved over the years. Broad-market equity ETFs have dramatically reduced the tax drag for taxable accountholders, effectively simulating the tax deferral that accompanies investing in a 401(k). And many robo-advisors use other techniques to reduce the tax drag on investors' taxable accounts—specifically, selling losing positions to offset gainers elsewhere in investors' portfolios. That has the potential to reduce the capital gains taxes on positions when they're eventually liquidated.
Even as investing in a taxable account has grown more attractive, it's a given that investors should put enough in a 401(k)—even a poor one—to earn matching contributions. If the 401(k) plan is weak and they have additional retirement assets they have to invest, they should opt for an IRA in lieu of steering more money to the poor 401(k) plan. Income limits apply to IRA contributions, but anyone can invest in a Roth IRA through the "backdoor," provided they have earned income to cover the contribution amount.
But what if they have additional retirement assets to invest? Once the IRA is fully funded, would those dollars be better off in a weak 401(k) or in a brokerage account held outside of a tax-sheltered account?
The answer here, as with so many financial questions, depends on a couple of key factors, especially the following:
Because these factors all work together, it's difficult to make one-size-fits-all assessments about the virtues of investing in a 401(k) versus investing inside of a taxable account. Here are some simplified examples that help illustrate the interplay between all of these variables—and specifically the trade-off between tax costs and investment expenses.
Example 1: Anne plans to invest $10,000 per year in a balanced portfolio within her lousy 401(k). While her account earns 5% per year on a pre-expense basis, that number shrivels to a 3.5% return once all the fees are taken out. She makes pretax (traditional) contributions to the 401(k) account for 30 years, at which time she begins pulling the money out and paying taxes on the withdrawals at her 24% income tax rate. Anne would have about $516,000 on a pretax basis at the time of retirement, but the taxes on her withdrawals would take that amount down to about $392,000. Anne's situation illustrates how high expenses can erode the tax benefits of a tax-deferred account.
Example 2: Jerry, Anne's colleague, skips the costly 401(k) and goes straight to a taxable account. He doesn't receive the tax break on his initial contributions, so he can only contribute aftertax money into the account. Whereas Anne can send the whole $10,000 into her 401(k) each year, Jerry—in the 24% tax bracket at the time of his contribution—can only afford to contribute $7,600 to his taxable account. He, too, invests in a balanced portfolio and earns 5% on a pretax, pre-expense basis. But he sticks with low-cost, tax-efficient equity index funds and municipal-bond funds, so he's paying just 0.50% per year in taxes and just 0.25% in fees. He'd accumulate about $444,000 over 30 years. When Jerry withdraws the money in retirement, he won't pay taxes on the $228,000 he put in—his basis, which he has already paid taxes on—but he will owe capital gains taxes of 15% on his appreciation of $216,000 (assuming he's in the 15% capital gains tax bracket). Thus, Jerry's aftertax, take-home total would be about $412,000—better than Anne's. Better still, his account isn't subject to RMDs, so he can take the funds out on his own schedule. Jerry's situation illustrates that a low-cost, tax-efficient taxable portfolio can beat a higher-cost tax-deferred one.
Example 3: James' 401(k) includes a 0.5% layer of administrative fees, but he opts for the ultracheap index funds within his plan, bringing his total costs on a balanced portfolio to 0.6%. He invests $10,000 into the plan for 30 years, earning a 5.0% pre-expense return that drops to 4.4% once the plan's expenses and fund costs are factored in. He amasses about $600,000 in the plan, which drops to about $456,000 once he pays taxes at a 24% rate on the withdrawals. By taking advantage of the tax benefits of the 401(k) while also finding a way to keep his overall costs low, James comes out ahead of both Anne and Jerry. James' situation illustrates the best-case scenario for 401(k) investors: Take advantage of the tax break on contributions, take part in a low-cost plan, and opt for low-cost investments.
Example 4: Monica bypasses her company's poor 401(k) and instead invests $7,600 per year in a taxable account. (Like Jerry, above, she's contributing aftertax dollars so we're assuming lower contribution amounts to account for a 24% income-tax bracket on an ongoing basis.) She chooses low-cost funds—with average expense ratios of 0.50%—but they're tax-inefficient, so she pays an additional 1% per year on their taxable capital gains and income distributions. While her balanced portfolio returns 5% on a pre-expense, pretax basis, she earns just 3.5% once taxes and expenses are taken into account. She has about $392,000 at the end of the 30 years—$228,000 of her own contributions, which she can withdraw tax-free—and another $164,000 in appreciation. Once the 15% capital gains tax on the appreciation is factored in, she ends up with about $368,000. By not taking advantage of the ability to make pretax contributions to the 401(k) and failing to invest in tax-efficient investments inside of her taxable account, she fares the worst of any of our hypothetical investors.
The preceding examples illustrate that investors would do well to weigh their own personal tax situations—both current and future—as well as the quality of their 401(k)s when determining which account types to fund. Obviously, the preceding examples are highly simplified: Rarely does an individual's tax bracket stay the same over a 30-year period; tax rates on a secular basis are also apt to change. (Capital gains tax rates, in particular, are quite low by historical standards.) That underscores the virtues of tax diversification—splitting assets across accounts with varying tax treatment, whether tax-deferred, taxable, or Roth—when saving for retirement. It also illustrates the value of taking a deliberate approach to Roth versus traditional tax-deferred account funding.
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